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In This Issue . . .
- MS Projects Growth
- Consumer
Confidence
- Peak Earning
Power
- Small Is
Beautiful
- Costa Rica
Third
- New Assignments
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Florida Consumer
Confidence Up
The University of Florida Bureau
of Economic and Business Research reports that
Florida consumer confidence rose to 74 in January, a
five point increase over December's survey.
Increases were reported in all five components of
the survey: personal finances over the past year,
personal finances expectations over the coming year,
U.S. economic conditions over the coming year, U.S.
business conditions over next the five years, and
perceptions of whether it is a good time to buy
big-ticket items rose the highest of all five.
Concurrently, The Conference Board reported its
national survey indicated a more modest increase in
the Consumer Expectations Index to 76.5 from 75.9 in
December.
Costa Rica Third
The annual
2010 Environmental Performance Index (EPI) moved
Costa Rica up to third behind Iceland and
Switzerland out of 163 countries worldwide. The
United States placed 61st.and CR neighbors Nicaragua
and Panama were ranked 93rd and 24th respectively.
Exciting New Assignments
Parker Associates is pleased to
report that assignments for analyzing and
positioning truly interesting land use concepts are
once again being transmitted to us. If our phone is
any indicator of developer confidence in the near
future, we expect "business as usual" to return at
an early date.
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Morgan Stanley
Projects Growth
Economists from Morgan Stanley
project the U.S. Gross Domestic product will rise to
3.5 percent growth in each of the second and third
quarters of 2010 compared to negative growth a year
ago. The company's January report added that
property values have bottomed and opportunities are
growing for distressed investment. They visualize
gradual relaxation of bank lending standards and
strong growth in U.S. exports and earnings lending
support to the GDP growth.
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Small Is Beautiful The increasing movement toward
smaller homes has gained in popularity throughout
the nation. NAHB' s Consumer Preferences 2010
reports a huge 96% of surveyed builders indicated
they would build smaller houses in 2010, in
direct response to the consumer
survey |

Photo Courtesy of James Wentling House Plans
Contact at
jameswentling@jameswentlinghouseplans.com |
indicating price,
energy efficiency, home organization and comfort as
the key factors influencing a new home purchase
decision. This survey supports our observations
that The Great Recession appears to have heightened
our sense of value with greater impact than simple
frugality - value that may have much more lasting
impact than mere price sensitivity.
The more efficient use of space
in a new home demands better design and materials as
well as carefully selected furnishings. Such
attention to value is likely to become desirable as
an appealing trend that implies new directions for
the home building industry.
Advance copies of Dr.
Parker's article entitled "Small Is Beautiful" were
sent to this mailing list in January. If you would
like a copy, please contact
david@parkerassociates.com.
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Peak Earning Power
Down
American Consumers Newsletter
reports that the age 45-54 peak earning group has
suffered a decline in real median income over the
past 30 years with men's annual median income
falling from $61,698 in 1978 to $53,331 in 2008 (in
2008 dollars). At the same time, the increase of
women into the workforce has kept the median annual
household income relatively stable at $64,349 in
2008 compared to $64,152 in 1978.
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Harvard Professor Elizabeth
Warren correlates this lack of real income growth to
the reduction in government regulation over the past
30 years. But much-discussed reform, she
argues, is stymied by politicians beholden to the
financial services industry and the attitudes of
peak earners in the 45-54 peak earners' group.
According to the 2008 General Social Survey, 62
percent of persons in this age category believe
their standard of living is better than their
parents was at the same age. They appear
oblivious to the deterioration of incomes over the
past 30 years.
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